Egypt fears that the revolutionary enthusiasm of Syria can be contagious

Soon after the overthrow of the Islamic rebels to the authoritarian president, Bashar al -Assad, the Egyptian social media is collected: “It is your role, a dictator.”

The message of President Abdel Fahia Sisi from Egypt was unambiguous. But he barely needs to warn.

Since the overthrow of the Syrian dictator for a long time on December 8, the Egyptian leaders have seen events in the Syrian capital, Damascus, with dark vigilance, knowing that revolutionary fire tends to spread.

Both countries have enjoyed a turbulent history since the Arab Spring uprisings that started in late 2010 and spread in the Middle East.

The Syrian rebellion was crowned approximately 14 years after the fall of Mr. Al -Assad. The Egyptian revolution has long been isolated, Hosni Mubarak, and witnessed an Islamic political party to take power in the first free elections in the country. Mr. Al -Sisi seized power two years later in a military acquisition, and he and the similar leaders remain in thinking about the Persian Gulf and beyond they remain Cautious From Islamic groups acquire any authority in the region, as they just did in Syria.

Days after Mr. Assad escaped from Syria to Russia, the Egyptian security forces arrested at least 30 Syrian refugees living in Cairo who were celebrating automatically. Its fallAccording to the Egyptian Initiative for Personal Rights, a group of rights.

It also made the Egyptian authorities difficult for the Syrians to travel to Egypt in the wake of the overthrow of Mr. Assad, which requires most of them to obtain security permits first.

Mr. Al -Sisi gave unusually repeated addresses in recent weeks to defend his record.

He said in December a week after the fall of Mr. Al -Assad: “My hand was not stained with the blood of anyone, and I did not eat anything that was not mine.”

When doing this, he seemed to be equivalent to a contradiction with the ousted Syrian leader while he was brushing as part of his human rights record, including the massacre of the Egyptian military forces, which was led by what rights groups say. 2013.

Since the rebels in Syria seized power, Egypt has Arrest Or began to prosecute many people who are considered political opponents, including exit Among a prominent rights group, the wife of a detained political cartoonist and a Tiktok user who was publishing videos criticizing Mr. Sisi. Egypt was already carrying tens of thousands of Political prisonersMany of them are Islamists.

Merit F. said. Mabruk, Egypt’s expert at the Middle East Institute in Washington, referring to the year of the Egyptian revolution: “Just 14 years away.” The Egyptian authorities said, “I know the snowball.”

After years of deepening Economic misery Throughout Egypt, Mr. Sisi was already in a very weak position. Mrs. Mabruk said that any hint that the Egyptians can hold the revolutionary enthusiasm of the Syrians – not because the Egyptians want an armed revolution.

The most obvious attempt to take advantage of the moment came from Ahmed Al -Mansour, who left the country to fight with the Syrian rebels years ago. After the prolongation of Mr. Al -Assad, he went up repeatedly against Mr. Sisi online from Damascus.

“You deserve one bullet,” said Mr. Mansor. video It was published on X. It was shown 1.5 million times.

The threat of television in Egypt, who often doubles the government’s conversation points for their night broadcast, sent a fuss. One of the hosts, Ahmed Musa, called on the new Syrian leaders to act.

“They must tell us if they are with what is happening in targeting our country or not,” to caution.

Shortly after Tiraid in mid -January, the new Syrian authorities arrested Mr. Mansor with many colleagues. He was detained on his way to a meeting with the country’s interim defense minister, according to a statement from the Sisi control movement founded by Mr. Mansor.

It is not clear whether the Egyptian authorities have pushed his arrest.

The Group of Mansor urged the Syrian authorities to release him, saying that the Egyptian people are exercising their rights against Mr. Sisi, as did the Syrians against Mr. Assad. Its current situation is unknown.

But even with Mr. Mansor at the present time, it is unlikely that other Egyptians will stop complaining.

Many were tense to Mr. Sisi after years of economic crises, the most recent of which was Resulting The successive shocks of the war in Ukraine and Gaza. But problems are also rooted in government mismanagement and excess spending, including great huge projects.

With Egypt in the depths of debt and the loss of revenue, the currency has ShatteredSome goods have become difficult to find and Economic inflation Rally.

Such difficulties for her throttle It has a population of about 111 million, with nearly three of three in poverty, according to official statistics.

Mr. Al -Sisi tried to protect himself from criticism, saying in a recent speech that the country was already in a bad financial state when he took office in 2013 and that rapid population growth in Egypt made it difficult to provide his citizens. But he spent years in boasting of the prosperity that he would have brought to Egypt – the prosperity that never came, until he opened expensive New capital With a brilliant presidential palace completion.

“People are seriously mocking it, and therefore he is only trying there to establish things,” said Ms. Maprk.

Initially, many praised the president as a hero and loyal for his use in the military force to overthrow the Muslim Brotherhood, the Islamic Political Party, which won the presidency after the 2011 Egyptian revolution, but continued to alienate many of the population.

Mr. Al -Sisi spent the years that followed this in the silence of the Muslim Brotherhood in Egypt, and considered it a threat to his authority. The Egyptian authorities sued thousands of members of the Muslim Brotherhood and suspects, describing them as terrorists, while others fled the country.

Even weakness, political Islamists remain a common goal for Mr. Sisi and his supporters, who often make the dangers of political Islam.

Therefore, it was not surprising that the Egyptian authorities seemed a memorandum of caution against the rise of lightning to Taher Al -Sham, the Islamic rebel group that took responsibility in Syria. The group was once subordinate to al -Qaeda, but it was notified of its extremist origin.

Analysts said that Egypt may not have a great love for Mr. Assad, but it prefers the fragile stability that it represents the chaos and the conflict surrounding Egypt in Libya, Sudan and Gaza.

So he approached relations with new Syria with caution.

Unlike other Arab countries, Egypt has not yet held High -level meetings With Syrian officials.

The diplomats in Cairo say that Egyptian officials urged from the private sector to other governments to stay cautious about the leadership of the new Syria and not to lift the sanctions on the country very quickly. They spoke on the condition that his identity was not disclosed because they were not allowed to speak publicly.

The Minister of Foreign Affairs in Egypt, Badr Abdi, has The name Regional and international partners must ensure that “Syria does not become a source of regional instability or a haven for terrorist groups.”

Mahmoud Badr, a supporter of the Egyptian government, helped to strengthen the movement of the Muslim Brotherhood’s protest, which paved the way for Mr. Sisi’s rise, after a short period of Haya Tarr al -Sham, was unable to distinguish.

He said, “All of this is part of one network and no one can convince us otherwise,” noting that pictures that were widely circulated that showed the leader of the Syrian group’s meeting with a prominent member of the Muslim Brotherhood.

Although the anti -Islam feelings are still strong among the Egyptians, the anti -Sisi feelings.

“It comes in a very bad time for SISI,” said Broderick McDonald, a co -center of the International Center in Kings College in London to study extremism.