Traders work on the New York Stock Exchange on October 1, 2025.
New York
On Wednesday, the United States government stops. However, stock markets jumped – even one standard reached a record.
Traders in the prediction market are betting that the closure will continue for nearly two weeks. Nothing is very radical, because this is the average length the government requires to reopen, based on the data dating back to 1990 of 1990 Bank of America.
The government’s stop does not put the brakes on the momentum of the stock market. Do investors get adventure? Well, history shows that the pattern is not new. S& p 500 has It rose on average 1 % In the week before and after the closure, according to Bofa data.
Even the Adp Jobs report, which missed expectations with a wide margin, did not do much to subjugate animal lives. Special salary statements He decreased by 32,000 in SeptemberAccording to ADP, compared to an increase of 45,000 estimated by surveying the economists.
The official statistical office salary report of the Labor Office is now not suspended in the bureaucratic disinfectant, and therefore it was not released on Friday. Therefore, the American Federal Reserve may put an additional weight on the ADP report – although it is so Do not always move in synchronization With BLS numbers. Traders expect that weak data will push the Federal Reserve to reduce interest rates in October.
Ignore all negative news, S & P 500 Close above the level of 6700 for the first time. It seems, once again, that the visualization of bad news is flagrantly to external observers and markets.
What you need to know today
Finally …
Morning Light strikes the American Capitol hours before a press conference to discuss the transparency bill in Epstein files, which directs the issuance of the remaining files related to investigations at Jeffrey Epstein and Ghislaine Maxwell, at Capitol Hill in Washington, DC, USA, September 3, 2025.
Jonathan Ernest Reuters
How can the closure of the US government affect global markets
The US government entered a closure on Wednesday. He adds to concerns about American institutional credibility, financial position and “job defect”, according to Luke Bartolomeo, Vice President of Economists in Aberdeen.
Joe Prussuelaas, the chief economist in RSM USA, pointed out that the largest result of the markets can be more pressure on Greenback or an impact on the decision of the Federal Reserve in October.
Chloe Taylor and Yasmine Lukwood
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