How can conservatives live again

Digest opened free editor

Rola Khaleda, FT editor, chooses her favorite stories in this weekly newsletter.

We who grew up in the nineties of the last century still Britain cannot believe the fall of Manchester United. Whatever the evidence, whatever the right sense that tells us, the body appears to be sure of life at any moment now, Devil’s Trident within reach. It is a state of experience as an intellectual defect. You should be a young man to see the topic straight.

In a similar note, do not hesitate to deduct the following argument – that the tributaries in Britain are less than less for the upcoming elections – as it escapes from a person in the thills to historical experience. If every person is absolutely known about the Conservative Party is long -term governments and restoring restrictions, it is difficult to be credited with abundant evidence of their imminent collapse.

So, how can this giant raise? First, take a moment to understand how hated action is about to become. To justify her second tour of the tax increases, which she had I promised “Everyone can see him last year last year Change“I am not sure that everyone can. Rise In global borrowing Costs.

What changed, then? Donald Trump’s re -election? The subsequent commercial conflict? Both events should have been expected. Trump was leading the US presidency Opinion polls When the Labor Party entered positions, the definitions are the only thing that he praised throughout its period in public life.

Reeves does not have any mandate to raise taxes again and there are no “changed” conditions for citing them by getting rid of them. When you raise them anyway, the voters’ reaction will not be warm, at least from everything from the middle -class professionals who took a bit without a little thinking in the Labor Party in 2024 (more than that at a later time.) She said that growth would avoid the need to increase taxes, and it was wrong, because it was fluctuating the growth part.

The erosion will be from this government to the left. Almost all the inner pressure comes on Sir Care Starmer from this quarter, and nothing in his past indicates that he has fibers to resist it. Jeremy Corbyn did not donate until the voters crushed that former party leader. I need to cover the court ruling It is clear Its definition of women. He followed the reform of social welfare. Children are not delayed at the age of sixty new paragraphs.

So, yes, the vote is divided into the right of the center-between the Conservative Party and the reform of Nigel Faraj in the United Kingdom-but it must increase the total size of it. There is a reason to expect this increase to distort conservatives. If the middle class in the private sector is losing by the Labor Party, then Report UK will be a strange place for these voters to land, given the party’s lack of financial party.

This would be more honest if Britain’s economic problems move from chronic to sharp. The essence of the issue for the non -deduction of the conservatives is that the national account, and perhaps a doctrine crisis, is reasonable, and at this point, the brave voters will take Farraj test in the office. I am not sure how the idea is to profit the populists from the crisis. Trump won the White House amid the 2016 and 2024 economic growth. In the year of the epidemic, it lost in 2020. Britain voted in favor of Britain’s exit from the European Union seven years in economic expansion. Away from being fans of politics, Demagogues depends on the basis of national economic health to relieve voters in risk.

In the absence of such emergency, the revival of the Conservative Party is far. The latest detailed for yougov reconnaissance They appear to them to fall to 45 seats if today’s elections are held.

Even here, though, there is a reason for hedging. Britain’s electoral policy may be the most volatile of major democracies. (France, whose president was not a decade ago. In Britain, where voters shop, Starmer was a joke late. 2021 And between the winner of the ground collapse in 2024. Whether this makes us the most moody or more rational people in the world, this means that opinion polls are transient. Sufficient eternity cannot be emphasized for four years (the remaining period of this parliament) in the United Kingdom.

Also, be skeptical of any analysis that lives in partial policy. Yes, the party’s internal infrastructure – its local offices, and their central corps of Reigns and Apprtchiks – is Threadbare. The splits of reform in the United Kingdom multiply. But these variables tend to follow Zeitgeist. If conservatives can pick up opinion polls, the donations will falter and smart graduates join with joining the main opportunity. Report UK has a great and enthusiastic membership, but also worked when it was photographed in the 2019 elections.

At night, the conservatives were evacuated from his post, a person who is not a politician at all told me, “I want to go, I want the beauty to disappear, I want Reese Mug.” Notice before hate. (Liz Tros and Jacob Reese Mug will lose their seats after hours.) Also note that the work is not mentioned. He distilled a national mood in dozens of words. I had to expect the person’s same position in 2029, I suggest that it would be an intense remorse for the buyer on work, as well as fear of what Farage might do in a country that could not literally can literally. United needs to climb 14 places of last season to win again. Conservatives only need competitors to stumble.

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