Stanford study of its kind: Artificial intelligence has begun “a big and unpaid effect”

Search, led Eric BringgloffsonSenior economists and Amnesty International is a type of thought leaderThe high -frequency salary records of millions of American workers, created by ADP, the largest salary software software company in the United States, the analysis revealed a 13 % drop in employment for early care workers in the most widely exposed AI jobs since it was widely adopted for initial artificial intelligence tools, “even after controlling fixed shocks.” On the other hand, employment remained for the oldest and most experienced workers in the same professions stable or grown.

The study highlighted six facts that Bringgolson believes that early and large evidence appears to be proportional to the hypothesis of the labor market earthquake heading to General Z.

1) Strong workers hardly hit

First, the employment disruption is not evenly done through the workforce. The largest declines among novice young workers-those whose skills are easily replaced with Amnesty International’s skills that are automated by routine tasks and blogger tasks. The report says that experience and implicit knowledge have become the decisive temporary stores against displacement, as artificial intelligence tools excel in replacing learning on the skills of the job that are difficult to remove.

The report says that a “significant” decrease has been revealed, especially for workers between the ages of 22 to 25 Goldman Sachs account A decrease in a university degree, which implicitly means that novice workers are struggling to distinguish between this climate. Global Research Bank of AmericaMeanwhile, I noticed that since 2022, the unemployment rate for new graduates began to exceed the total unemployment rate for the first time in modern memory.

2) A pattern that fades since 2022

Second, the study finds that less than young people are appointed in professions exposed to the spontaneous organization, with employment growth for young workers stagnant since late 2022-consistent with the Bofa analysis of census data.

The study says that the jobs are less exposed to Amnesty International, that young workers have witnessed a similar growth for the older workers. In contrast, the novice workers in the most exposed to Amnesty International have seen a 6 % decrease in employment from late 2022 to July 2025, while older workers have seen 6 % to 9 %. The results indicate that the artificial intelligence revolution leads the growth of comprehensive “lukewarm” workers between the ages of 22 to 25 years.

3) Automation against an increase

The data indicates that the important discrimination does not lead to the fact that not every use of AI leads to a decrease in work. Negative effects are concentrated in the fields that are likely to be automated instead of increasing work, and professions with artificial intelligence applications have not witnessed similar declines in beginners in beginners.

The team says that it distinguishes between automation and “experimental” increase, using estimates of the extent of information that were observed either as an alternative or completing tasks in a specific profession. “These results are consistent with the automatic uses of replacing artificial intelligence for employment while enhanced uses not,” the authors write.

This is similar to Joshua Wöhle, CEO of Mindstone, a company that provides Amnesty International Manpower Services. “We are near the point where (artificial intelligence) is more intelligent than most people who do knowledge. But this is exactly the reason for increasing automation.” LinkedIn About his experiences with artificial intelligence recruitment. Eric Vujan, CEO of IGNETETECH, took a radical step in a position of approximately 80 % of his company in 2023, Saying luck He did not do it because he wanted less workers, but because his team did not increase their work using artificial intelligence tools quickly.

4) Stability

Stanford analysis excludes many other interpretations, such as disorders in the Kofid era or the interest rate shocks. The effects appeared only after late 2022, coincided with the AI’s quick adoption, and are not limited to computer -related jobs, as the authors write, and they mentioned the durability of these results as important.

For workers between the ages of 22 to 25 years, the researchers say they have found a decrease in the relative employment of most of the five-year-old on behalf of AI-compared to five five-year-old, “great and statistically significant effect.” Other age groups had smaller and statistical unimportant estimates, on the other hand.

5) Employment, not wages

The study says that concerns about the collapse of income related to Amnesty International may be exaggerated, as the study says, and found that the amendment in the labor market is largely occurs through a decrease in employment instead of low wages. Wage rates have not changed significantly, according to Stanford, with “a little difference in annual salaries of salaries by age or fifth of exposure, indicating a possible wage.” If this is true, they write, AI may have greater effects on employment of wages, at least to start.

6) Winding widespread

Finally, the Stanford team argues that these facts are largely consistent with different samples, with patterns of data “the most severe in late 2022, close to the rapid spread of artificial intelligence tools.”

The authors warn that although these results are early, their data set in actual time provides some of the first direct experimental guide that artificial intelligence converts job opportunities away from beginners workers in America. The study has been repeatedly tightened as it evaluates the beginning of what it calls the “artificial intelligence revolution”, but the economic anxiety that was greatly moved between General Z has begun to appear in employment data that confirms that yes, there is something happening here.