A third of the American economy is already stagnant or at a high risk, and the third is the recession, Zandy warns

in Social media publications on SundayHe said that his assessments of various data groups indicate that countries that represent nearly a third of GDP in the United States are already present in a stagnation or at a significant risk of slipping into one. Another third is walking in the water, while the last third is still expanding.

Zandy added: “The countries that suffer from stagnation are spread throughout the country, but the most prominent capital region is highly due to government job discounts.” “The southern states are the most powerful in general, but their growth slows down. California and New York, which represent more than five of the GDP, keep them, and their stability is decisive for the national economy to avoid contraction.”

Now, and Tracking GDP in Atlanta Fair It indicates the continued growth of the country, although it is expected to be given to 2.3 % in the third quarter of 3 % in the second quarter.

Here is how states – and one federal region

• -separation: Rawd/high risks
• (22): Wyoming, Montana, Minnesota, Mississippi, Kansas, Massachusetts, Washington, Georgia, New Hampshire, Maryland, Rod Island, Illinois, Dilayer, Virginia, Oregon, Connecticut, South Dakota, New Jersey, Main, Loda, Loda, West Collery County*. Water
• (13): Missouri, Ohio, Hawaii, New Mexico, Alaska, New York, Vermont, Arkansas, California, Tennessee, Nevada, Colorado, Michigan. Expansion

(16): South Carolina, Idaho, Texas, Oklahoma, North Carolina, Alabama, Kentucky, Florida, Nebraska, Indiana, Louisiana, North Dakota, Arizona, Pennsylvania, Utah, and Wisconsin. Last week, Zandy also put a more accurate point on his expectations. He said that the pioneering recession index in the field of learning in Moodyz has placedThe possibility of recession in the next 12 months, with 49 %

.

While tax cuts and government spending on defense should help grow, this will not come until next year. Zandy said the basic situation is that the economy avoids recession, “but not much.”

He added: “The economy will be more vulnerable to stagnation at the end of this year and early next year.” “Then the repercussions of inflation will occur in the higher definitions and the policy of restricted immigration to its climax, which weighs the income of the real family and thus consumer spending.”

Zandy said that the economy, which faces many threats, will not take much to push him to recession, as he photographed a sale in the treasury bond market that would send long -term returns. And before that, he referred to thisMore than half of the industries actually water workers

A sign accompanied by previous stagnation.The salaries were expanded only by 73,000 last month

Much less than expectations for about 100,000. At the same time, the May balance has been revised from 144,000 to 19,000, and the June total of 147,000 to 14,000 has been reduced, which means that the average profit during the past three months is now only 35,000.

Since the recent reviews were constantly less, Zandy said he would not be surprised if subsequent reviews showed that employment has already decreased.

“The saying is also that employment is declining in many industries. In the past, if more than half of the 400 -year -old industries in wiping salaries give up jobs, we were in stagnation,” he said. “In July, more than 53 % of the industries were cut off, and health care was only adding salaries.”Submit 2025 Fortune Global 500 The final ranking of the largest companies in the world.