Where are all Atlantic hurricanes? The predictors say they are coming

In May, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) expected the Hurricane season of the above natural ocean, but so far it has been relatively tamed.

However, this can end very soon. Experts say people Canon are better prepared.

To date, it was there Four storms of her nameWith most of them are short -term tropical storms: Andrea, Barry, Chantal and Dixter. The latter was formed on August 4 and is currently in the North Atlantic Ocean.

Four storms are called a little higher than Average 3.2 For this time of year.

Why does it look very calm?

“I think calm is a perspective,” said Jennifer Collins, a professor of Earth Sciences at the University of South Florida in Tampa. “In the last decade or so, we started several very early, so I think this is why we feel quiet.”

But there is something else.

“Another reason that it seems very active is that we have a lot of short -live storms. So when they don’t live for a long time, it started to seem inactive,” Collins said.

The tropical storm Andrea lasted only two days, while Barry spanned three. The longest tropical storm of Cantal, which lasted and brought heavy rains to Carolinas.

But the tropical storm Bari greatly affected the weather patterns on Texas, which caused widespread floods, which led to At least 135 people diedCollins added.

Chris Vogarti, director of the Canadian Hurricane Center, said that just calculating the names of storms is not an accurate representation of the season’s activity.

“There are different ways to measure the activity of the hurricane season,” he said. “There are a number of storms you can get. You can have 30 very weak storms. They may all have names, but if they are weak, this is still considered a quiet activity, like an inactive, although there are a lot of small storms there.”

Unlike the Atlantic Ocean, the Pacific Ocean was very active. There were eight storms of its name, as four had evolved into hurricanes.

“My research was shown when I tend to get less activity in the Atlantic Ocean, we tend to see more in the northeastern Pacific, especially towards Hawaii, and they saw more activity this year,” Collins said.

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A quiet start for the season of hurricanes has occurred before.

In 2022, the Atlantic Pink had three storms in June and July, with one – Hurricane Bony – developing into a category 5 on Safir Swisson scale. But the entire month of August had no single storm.

However, tropical storms and hurricanes abounded in September, with one tropical depression (pre -index of a tropical storm), tropical and four hurricanes, including two developed into large hurricanes, ranging from storms 3 of category 3 with sustainable winds from 178 km/h to category 5 of 52 km/h.

So the season may still be surprised yet.

As of the writing of these lines, the tropical storm Dexter is outside the coast of Nova Scotia, and there are two other logic. The American National Hurricane Center says in the coming days.

Some ingredients are needed to create a hurricane: wet air, hot water and wind -level winds.

But not all of them were present, Vogarti said. It is like trying a cake without flour.

“For Canada, this activity period is usually more near the end of August and in September,” Vogarti said. “It is a little calm this year until now, but this will definitely change. It is just a matter of time for patterns and tropical areas to move to the Atlantic Ocean to allow hurricanes to form.”

In the expectations of the hurricane in May, NOAA expected between 13 and 19 storms called, with six to 10 of them became hurricanes. Among them, three to five hurricanes are expected to be. They had 70 percent confidence in these predictions.

CBC News told that she plans to update her expectations on August 7.

For Colines, it stresses that people should not let their guard yet – even if they do not live on the coast, where there can be internal floods with hurricanes. The peak of the Atlantic Hurricane season around August and September. Likewise, and Fast intensification From hurricanes has increased in recent years and can be very dangerous.

She said: “We see many years of rapid condensation, as the (hurricane) decreases significantly within only 24 hours, and therefore wind speeds for them and thus rise very quickly.”

“My expectation is that we will continue to see some of these hurricane seasons too. So … I don’t think people should leave their guard.”