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Your guide to what the second period of Trump means to Washington, business and the world
Donald Trump’s bill is approaching and spent by law, as Republicans are competing to face the presidential date on July 4 – but they still have to overcome a set of obstacles.
On Monday, it was the American Senate Prepare to vote In the “Big and Beautiful Double”, which would extend the tax cuts in Trump for the year 2017, the health care and luxury care process for social welfare and increase borrowing. But Al -Fatehi fighting inside his Republican party threatens to take out the schedule.
Will the Senate approve the draft law – and when?
On Monday, the Senate began the weight of a series of amendments to the draft law in a process that was expected to continue throughout the day. The final vote is expected to take place in the Senate late Monday or early on Tuesday.
Trump He insisted on Monday morning that the bill was “moving well.” But its progress depends on the ability of the Republican leaders to beat the skeptical members of the Senate. The party’s deficit hawk is concerned that the bill will increase the American debt. Others are concerned about the deep discounts of health care for low -income Americans.
Two Republican Senators – Rand Paul from Kentucky and Tom Teleles of North Carolina – said they would vote against the bill. Others, including Ron Johnson from Wisconsin and Lisa Morkovsky from Alaska.
The Republican Democrats accused of trying to accelerate the draft law through “in the hollow of the night” and sought to delay it, which forced a full reading of the 940 -page bill in the Senate Hall and the amendments to the text.
If the Republicans control Congress, then why is Trump struggle to pass the bill?
Republicans maintain a high majority in the House of Representatives and the Senate, which means that a small number of legislators can obtain the bill.
In the Senate, where Republicans possess 53-47, the Malian Falcons, including Paul and Johnson, says that the bill will lead to the amplification of the American debt pile. The non -party budget budget office said that the legislation will increase the national Debt by 3.3 trillion by 2034.
Others, such as Tillis, objected to discounts in the Medicaid program, a government health insurance program for low -income persons. The draft law will strip millions of people of health insurance over the next decade.
The House of Representatives, where Republicans have a majority 220-212, His own version passed From legislation last month. But it must agree to any changes made by the Senate before the legislation is signed in the law.
A few Republicans in the House of Representatives have already sparked freedom of freedom to the price of the Senate Bill, while more moderate members oppose the deeper discounts of the Senate version to Medicaid.
Republicans in New York and New Jersey are also trying to conclude an agreement to deduct more local and local taxes.
How can all of these congress quarrels be resolved?
While most of the draft laws need to wipe the “filibuster” of 60 votes to pass the Senate of 100, Republicans are trying to pass the “beautiful big law” through a special process known as the budget settlement. This allows approval of legislation by a simple majority of 51 votes, and a 50-50 tie can be broken by Vice President JD Vance.
After passing the Senate, the draft law will need to return home, perhaps later this week. The House of Representatives approved its copy only from the draft law with one vote in May, so there can be more quarrels before the lower room agreed to another version.
If the House of Representatives does not approve the Senate Bill, there are two different options. The council can amend it and send it again to the Senate, where it will need another vote. Or the two roles can send members to the Conference Committee to strike a compromise.
What happens if Congress loses the deadline of Trump?
Not so much – the deadline was imposed by the White House and Republican leaders of the Congress to pressure members to pass the bill. The longer the negotiation period, the more difficult it is to enact legislation by July 4, the Independence Day.
Last week, Trump seemed to admit that the deadline might slip. He said: “This is not the end.” “We can go longer, but we would like to accomplish it by that time if possible.”
In June, A series of ballot boxes It showed that the legislation was widely popular. Nearly half (49 percent) of Americans oppose legislation, while 29 percent prefer this, according to Pio Research.
“Opinion polls showed that this bill is the political suicide of the Republican Party,” Elon MuskThe best donor in Trump in 2024, was recently published on X.
At some point in the coming months, Congress needs to extend the debt limit of the American government to pay the due bills. The legislation will avoid this crisis by raising the so -called debt roof by $ 4TN or 5 meters, which is 36.1 Tre.
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