After Trump’s historic truce, Iran, Israel, does the ceasefire really bring?

president Donald Trump The historic ceasefire agreement between Israel and Iran was mediated on Monday, which represents a major stop in the most important military confrontation among opponents.

An advertisement entered Monday evening after 12 hours, following a schedule designed to allow the final military maneuver on both sides. However, a hail from The Iranian missile She left fire in the hours that followed many Israelis wondering whether the truce had already violated.

In an interview with Fox News Digital, John Spencer, CEO of the Institute of Urban War, said, said. Delayed implementation It is not unusual. “It is difficult to turn off things on a key. You have a plane on the flight. You have strong positions,” explained.

Trump brokers, Iran, the ceasefire, as experts say, the regime’s arsenal is shattered, but the threat is still

Spencer described the American process as historical.

“What is historical is that the United States carried out a limited operation on nuclear targets that do not contain zero losses – no pilot, no equipment – and helped Israel in a way that America could only, but the non -partisan nuclear spread, and this was a political victory.” Even after Iran struck an American base in Qatar, he added: “The president showed a tremendous seizure and continued to focus on the broader goal: preventing Iran from obtaining a nuclear weapon and continuing its terrorist campaign.”

Despite the violence that followed this announcement – including an Iranian blow that killed four civilians in Israel – Spencer believes that the ceasefire would carry it. “The two countries now said that we will do so at all,” he said. “And yes, President Trump is very inhuman in the way he continues with a ceasefire … with “No one bomb falls.”“

To understand how such a shooting is revealed, Spencer referred to five historical precedents characterized by delaying activation, interim targets and a final window for military sites.

Korean armies for war (1953)

It was signed on July 27, 1953, the truce that ended the Korean war was organized with a deliberate delay for 12 hours before in effect. “This allowed the final military movements before a simultaneous stop,” Spencer said.

And spend the fire on the Yom Kippur War (1973)

Spencer indicated that in 1973, Israel used the last hours before the uniform ceasefire to the placement forces. He said: “Israel made a set of moves in those last hours … to include surrounding the third army and moving to the city of Suez,” referring to its case study on the battle of the city of Suez.

Trump announces Iran and Israel to stop the shooting agreement on “12 War Days”

Dietton Agreement (1995)

After ending the Bosnian war, Daiton’s peace agreements in which the United States mediated a timetable for training in the withdrawal of forces and political agreements. “That was the United Nations, and many countries signed an agreement on what the two sides would do and will not do,” Spencer explained, in contrast to this with more flexible conditions in Israel, Iran.

The ceasefire in Israel is (2014)

Spencer also drew similarities with the 2014 war in Gaza. He said: “Hamas will say,” Well, we want a ceasefire … even the next time they break the ceasefire. “Many of these agreements had delays to activate 12 to 72 hours, similar to what is now with Iran.

Ukraine Russia stops proposals

Even recently, during the continuous war of Russia, the ceasefire was often short and symbolic. “I want three days to be able to do my review,” Putin said, “Spencer commented, highlighting how it can serve temporary temporary strategic and political needs.

While the ceasefire is designed in the past to slow the escalation, Spencer believes that this is part of a wider strategic doctrine. “To help Israel in a way that the United States can only be a non -partisan,” he said. “For the United States to make a very limited process, without one loss of American life … this is unique.”

Click here to get the Fox News app

Spencer described the ceasefire as “outside the slope” of both sides. “The shooting stop here means that both sides will stop shooting each other. This does not mean that Iran will stop threatening” America’s death and death To IsraelHe said, but the operations and fighting have stopped.

Although there are no official terms or international enforcement, Spencer believes that the agreement created a new precedent. He said: “This has created a new doctrine,” noting that Israel is able to control the Iranian sky and the American response to the threats of nuclear spread. “If Iran decides to rebuild some sites somewhere, threats will be more than ever.”

Spencer concluded, “It is a victory. When the red lines are really red lines, they are effective in deterrence.”