These are the thorny points that hold a commercial deal for the United States of America

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The flags of the European Union and the United States flutter next to the Ukraine Military Center, in Jasura, southeastern Poland on March 6, 2025.

Sergey because AFP | Gety pictures

The American and European Union is running out of time to conclude a deal on commercial tariffs – and analysts say that many major sticks may make the agreement impossible.

The negotiations were slow because both the United States and the European Union temporarily cut their duties to each other until July 9. If a deal is not agreed upon by that time, Fullly mutual import tariff From 50 % on European Union commodities, and the mass Wide -ranging measures It is appointed to enter into force.

“We are not talking, but I do not feel that they are making a fair deal yet,” US President Donald Trump told reporters on Tuesday.

So what carries things between the two sides, which had a relationship He deserves 1.68 trillion euros ($ 1.93 trillion) in 2024?

Organizing large technology

One of the bone of experts by experts was the organization of the European Union for major technology companies in particular. The bloc faced regular criticism from the United States after imposing historical bases on technology giants in terms of transparency, competition and moderation.

“The Trump administration is actively seeking to use commercial negotiations to force the European Union to surrender and weaken the organizational environment,” Alberto Rizi, a political colleague of the European Council for Foreign Relations, told CNBC.

“However, for the Europeans, any interference in its local organization of digital platforms is unacceptable, and it will contradict its commitment to combating misleading information and hate speech.”

Philip Lak, director of the Economy Program at the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS), chanted concerns, but said that the European Union could surrender some reasons without undermining their principles.

But the parties “have not reached this level of conversation yet,” he said.

Taxes

Risi said that taxes are another major area of ​​the difference between the United States and the European Union, noting that Trump believes that the tariff is that it calculates the unfair taxes that have been placed on American companies and goods by European countries.

This includes the so -called value -added taxes, or value -added tax, which are imposed at each stage of the supply chain with a change in the value of the product. Although the United States is very common globally, the United States does not operate VAT, and Trump has described it as a commercial obstacle – and justified for definitions.

“However, the value -added tax tax of the European Union treats local and foreign goods in the same way completely and in the eyes of the Europeans, the imposition of taxes is a purely local issue that should not be part of any commercial discussion,” Rizi said. “Taxes are a red line for the European Union in employment discussions.”

Unresponsive

It seems that a much wider issue between Washington and Brussels is a major lack of confidence and alignment in negotiations and their goal.

“There is only one point, which is that Trump wants to target the European Union, and the European Union does not get it.”

CSIS’s luck struck a similar tone, as he knew, philosophically, that the United States and the European Union had different views in the conversations.

“This administration (the United States) looks at these negotiations through a lens of how partners can relinquish concessions to help us. They do not see this as a traditional mutual commercial conversation, where we give something,” he said.

He said that the European Union has a much more traditional view, as it is clear from the proposal of the yellow definitions against scratch-which faced a reaction from the White House.

Lake said that European politicians “proud people think of themselves equally with the United States” who cannot make “ongoing” concessions, and do not feel that they should have to do so.

Will there be a deal?

Luck said that the United States is unlikely to accept a zero agreement against zero or an agreement, as the customs tariffs of both parties are reduced.

It is also doubtful that the European Union can secure a deal like the United Kingdom Agreed To some classes and definitions on some critical sectors.

This is because first, it is possible that the bloc does not accept similar conditions for the United Kingdom, as Luck added, but also because “this administration (the United States) has a kind of basic complaints about European policy.”

However, he sees a scenario in which the European Union may agree to a less tariff, such as 10 % currently – but only because it should be.

Rizzzi also suggested that “a limited deal that dates back or freezes the tariffs to specific sectors.” However, as he pointed out, this does not mean that it is a broad and imminent agreement.

Others are more pessimistic.

“I am very skeptical of a deal,” said Kerkegaard, a older -old colleague in Borujel.

“I think it is more likely that there is no deal, the European Union then explodes, and then we will have to see whether Trump is doing what he did with China: that he is discussing again, and the European Union may run out again.”

He warned that canceling the escalation-and the deal-may be possible only when a specific threshold of economic pain is met.



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