Iranian conflict Israel raises a warning in Pakistan amid concerns about private security Israel Iran

Islamabad, Pakistan – In January 2024, Pakistan and Iran launched missiles In the lands of each other in a short military escalation between the neighbors.

However, after 17 months, after Israel attacked Iran with strikes on the recent nuclear facilities, and many Iranian generals and nuclear scientists were assassinated, Pakistan was quick to condemn Israeli action.

Islamabad described the Israeli strikes as violations of Iran’s regional sovereignty, describing it as “stark provocations.”

The Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Pakistan said in a statement On June 13.

With the entry of Israeli attacks on Iran, and the retaliatory strikes, the two of the two days, the entry of their sixth day, the deep conflict raises fears in Islamabad, says analysts, who are rooted in its complex relations with Tehran and the greatest satisfaction of the possibility of the Israeli air influence that extends to the Pakistani border.

Human losses from the Israeli conflict, Iran grows. Israel’s attacks on Iran have already led to more than 220 deaths, with more than a thousand people. In revenge, Iran fired hundreds of missiles in Israeli territory, which led to more than 20 deaths and widespread damage to property.

While Pakistan, which is part of 905 km (562 miles) with Iran via the southwestern Baluchistan province, expressed its strong support for Taraan, it also closed five border crossings in Balochistan as of June 15.

More than 500 Pakistani citizens, especially pilgrims and students, have returned from Iran in recent days.

“On Monday, we had 45 students who followed certificates in various Iranian institutions returning to Pakistan. Nearly 500 pilgrims also returned through the Tafan border crossing.”

Tafan is the neighboring border town of Iran, located in the Chaji region of Balochistan, which is famous for its hills where Pakistan conducted its nuclear tests in 1998, as well as the Rico de and SAINDAK mines known as their gold and copper.

At the heart of the decision to try to close the border effectively, Pakistan’s concern about security in Balochistan, which in turn is affected by its relations with Iran, says experts.

Complex

Both Pakistan and Iran accused each other of harboring armed groups responsible for the border attacks on their soil.

The latest glow occurred in January 2024, when Iran launched Rocket strikes In the Pakistani Baluchistan Province, claiming that it is targeting the separatist group.

Pakistan retaliated within 24 hours, and hit what he said was the disappointment of the separatists with the brows inside Iranian territory.

The neighbors were corrected after this brief escalation, and during the military conflict in Pakistan with India in May, Iran avoided seriously.

On Monday, the Foreign Minister addressed the hearing of Dar, Parliament, with a focus on how Pakistan had conversed Iran and suggested that Islamabad is ready to play a diplomatic role to help the mediator end the military actions between Iran and Israel.

Dar said: “The Iranian Foreign Minister (Abbas Aragchi) told me that if Israel does not carry out another attack, they are ready to return to the negotiating table.” “We have transferred this message to other countries, that there is still time to stop Israel and return Iran to the talks.”

The Minister of State for the Interior Tal Tal Chaudhry Al -Jazeera told the other countries that he needed more effort to pay to a ceasefire.

He added: “We believe that we play our role, but the world must also play its duty. Syria, Libya and Iraq – wars that destroyed them. It even led to the emergence of ISIS (ISIS). We hope this will not be repeated.”

Fahd Hammayon, assistant professor of political science at Tatst University and a visiting research researcher in Stanford, said that any Pakistani attempt to push for peace will help through the fact that the administration of President Donald Trump in the United States is also, at least officially, arguing in negotiations instead of war, said Fahd Hammayoun, Assistant Professor of Political Science at the University of Tatz and a visiting research researcher in Stanford.

But Umeer Karim, a Middle East researcher at the University of Birmingham, suggested that for all public discourse, Pakistan will be careful to deeply overcome itself in the conflict at a time when it tries to rebuild bridges with the closest United States in Israel.

“I doubt that Pakistan has the ability or will to mediate in this conflict, but it certainly wants to end as soon as possible,” he said.

Balochistan fears and security

The biggest concern in Pakistan, according to observers, is the potential repercussions in Balochistan, which is a resource -rich but anti -resource province. Rich in oil, gas, charcoal, gold and copper, Balochistan is the largest province in Pakistan, according to the region, but the smallest of them is the population, hoping about 15 million people.

Since 1947, Balochistan has witnessed at least five rebellion movements, the latest beginning in the early first decade of the twentieth century. The rebel groups demanded a greater share of local resources or explicit independence, which prompted contracts of military repression.

The province also hosts the strategic port of Jawadar, a central Pakistani economic corridor of $ 62 billion (CPEC), and connected Western China to the Arabian Sea.

Baluch nationalists accuse the state of exploitation of resources with the neglect of local development and the increase in separatist and separatist feelings. Vaspavo groups on both sides of the border, especially the Baluchistan Liberation Army (BLA) and the Baluchistan Liberation Front (BLA), was launching a rebellion in Pakistan to seek independence.

“There is a great concern in Pakistan that in the event of an escalation of war, members of armed groups such as BLA and BLF, many of whom live in the border areas of Iran, may try to search for protection inside Pakistan by crossing the borders shared by the countries in which the two countries share.”

“Thus, Pakistan was forced to close the crossing in an attempt to control the flow. It remains to see whether they can do this successfully, but at least this is their goal.”

I am worried about your responses to Afghanistan

Since the Soviet invasion of Afghanistan in 1979, Afghan refugee waves have requested shelter in Pakistan. Another mass entry occurred after the Taliban seized Kabul in August 2021. At their climax, there were nearly 4 million Afghans living in the country.

In 2023, Pakistan I launched a campaign To return refugees to Afghanistan. According to government estimates, nearly one million of them have been expelled so far. Pakistan cited the escalation of armed violence incidents in the country, which blames groups that they say find shelter in Afghanistan, as a major justification for its decision. The Taliban rejects the proposal that they allow the resort of armed groups against Pakistan on Afghan soil.

Bassett said Pakistan may likely want to avoid any repetition of what happened with Afghan refugees.

He added: “With such long borders (with Iran), and the history of the deep relationship between people from both sides, it is not the possibility that this factor was the one that was represented in Pakistan’s decision to close the borders.”

Fears of Israeli air superiority

Experts say Baloch armed groups and the possibility of refugees are not the only concerns that are likely to worry Pakistan, experts say.

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu claimed that his air force had controlled the sky of Tehran. Although both Israel and Iran are still hitting each other, Pakistan, which does not recognize and seen as a divided enemy, will not want the Israeli influence on the Iranian airspace of growth and crawling towards the Iranian -Pakistani border.

“Pakistan also hates Israel, which achieves complete air superiority and control of Iranian airspace, as it will increase the current security situation in the western Pakistani.”

Fracture of the past

Ihsanullah Tipu Mehsud, based in Islamabad, indicated that Pakistan has historically sided with the United States in regional wars, including in Afghanistan, but it may hesitate this time.

The majority of the Sunni nation, Pakistan is still proud of a large Shiite population – more than 15 percent of its population of 250 million.

He said: “Pakistan has already dealt with sectarian issues, and to publicly support military action against (Shiites-majority) Iran can provoke a serious reaction.”