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Business leaders are sitting stagnation for the United States, which initially rose in the wake of President Donald Trump’s definition, according to the data issued on Monday.
Less than 30 % of CEOs are expected to either light or severe stagnation over the next six months, for each executive group for the executive group. reconnaissance From more than 270 took last week. This fell from 46 % who said the same in May and 62 % in April.
The share of the executives included in the survey this month and who said they expect a level of growth in the American economy above 40 %. This is twice as much as 23 % who gave the same prediction in April.
The flat economic growth expectations have increased in recent months, with more than 30 % of 15 % increased in April. This comes as some market participants ask if “Rawd” – A term used to describe an environment with stagnant economic growth and sticky enlargement – it can be on the horizon.
The latest CEO data reflects a future outlook among American companies’ leaders as they follow the advanced policy on the Trump tariff. Many large companies have left their profits without changing, noting the uncertainty about what the president’s final policy will hold and will not include.
Trump sent us the escalating financial markets in April after it revealed his plan for the first time in many countries and regions, which worries the market participants to hinder spending on consumers. He put many of these duties to stop after a short period, which helped the market to recover many of its losses.
The White House is negotiating deals with countries during this decline, which is scheduled to end in early next month. The Trump administration announced deal With the United Kingdom and holds Talks with China In London on Monday.
Recession
Talking about the economic slowdown again has become a hot topic in America. “Rose” and the similar repetitions of the word have appeared on 150 profit calls listed in the S&P 500 menu so far this year, about twice the amount seen in the same period from 2024, according to the CNBC analysis of FactSet data.
Michael Defo, head of finance in volatility International flavors and perfumesOn the company’s profit call last month.
Companies have sparked a warning that the customs tariffs may reach their lower lines and that they will need to decrease higher costs by raising prices. Some also said that the increasing fears of recession due to the fees prompted consumers to tighten their belts financially.
The Michigan University’s consumer morale has fell closely Near its lowest levels in registration The announcements of the American tariffs also rocked every day.
However, the Federal Reserve in New York was released on Monday drawing a brighter image. The data showed that the ordinary consumer is growing Less concern about inflation After Trump walked some of his most dangerous business plans.
“From the macro, the worst concerns have passed,” it has passed, ” Home Depot CEO Edward Decker said last month. “We moved from dynamics from where we would have obtained a specific correction in the stagnation market and the stock market in early April, where the stock markets fully declined (and) the recession expectations last month.”
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