Germany has finally a leader. Now comes the difficult part of Mires

Photo of author

By [email protected]


Friedrich Mirz, Germany’s advisor, takes the seat of the counselor, after he swore the right, in Bondstag, Berlin, Germany, on Tuesday, May 6, 2025.

Crizitian sorry Bloomberg Gety pictures

After some dramas, about 10 weeks after the German elections, the largest economy in Europe has finally leading: Friedrich Mirz.

His ascension was not easily. On Tuesday, Mirz to fail For a consultant to a shock vote in the first round, an unprecedented event in the modern history of the country. Although the necessary parliamentary support is secured in a The second attempt Later in the day, Mirz appears to have started his new role as a somewhat bruising.

“It is the weakest of the beginning,” said Carsten Barzeski, Macro’s global president in Ing, told CNBC.

Other observers like Cyrus De La Rubia, the chief economist at Hamburg Commercial Bank, seem less interested.

“I think within a week or so from now, no one will talk about it much. Instead, people will look at what the government decides and does,” CNBC told CNBC.

Nickel from Tenio says:

In both cases, hard work has already began for the new consultant and the head of the coalition government, which consists of its Christian Democratic Union, with the Christian Social Union and the Social Democratic Party.

Some challenges include dealing with the division within the country on issues such as migration and geopolitical tensions about defense spending and trade, stagnant economy and preserving the ruling coalition unified and in the queue.

Economic problems and pressure

Germany’s economy will be at the head of Mirz, after making Promises Of new reforms and investments, and after harshly criticize The previous government policies during the election campaign.

For more than two years until now, the country has witnessed economic expansion and alternately alternately. The growth of the annual total local products was negative in 2023 and 2024. The latest expectations It does not seem to indicate a lot of comfort.

This is though The main financial package It was paid by CDU/CSU and SPD during their alliance negotiations, which include changes to long -term debt rules to allow more defensive spending and a 500 billion euros ($ 567 billion) infrastructure.

It seems that this money is at least safe, but the questions appeared about other financial and economic policies, said Brzeski’s.

Brzeski said: “I think the 500 billion euro infrastructure package is not touched and is an expired deal,” said Brzeski. He added: “All other measures, such as the fastest deletion of investments or tax discounts of companies in 2028, have become more nonexisial than before,” and this has now been linked to increasing risks now than potential clashes on the country’s budget.

French President Emmanuel Macron (R) holds a press conference with German Chancellor Friedrich Mirz (CDU) in Paris.

Photo alliance Photo alliance Gety pictures

Franzeska Palace, an economist in Europe at Capital Economs, also sees the financial package that is implemented as planned.

“We believe that this will give a big boost to the growth of GDP and the removal of Germany from the recession after six years,” Palmas told CNBC – but note that due to clear dissatisfaction within parts of the coalition factions, the risks of such reinforcement are smaller or take more time.

Another major issue affected by a turmoil on Tuesday is confidence in the coalition – which may be necessary for government’s economic policy plans, according to Otto Frick, the former Bundestag member of the Free Democratic Party.

He said, “The problem here in the end, it relates to the most important issue in politics: trust.”Europe early edition“On Wednesday. The German economy needs changes and quickly, if the goal is to grow, Frick said.

“Therefore, you need confidence within the cabinet, inside Parliament, to do the legislation quickly.”

Political consensus despite tensions?

Palmas at Capital Economics pointed out that Mirz’s promises that his government would be more stable than the previous one, which eventually collapsed due to the differences on economic and financial issues.

However, after the beginning of his term, “the risk of not being able to fulfill his promise that he will manage a more efficient and conflict -free government compared to the former traffic coalition,” she said.

But despite the clear tensions and increased instability, de la Rubia of Hamburg Commercial Bank indicated that, as shown in the Joint Alliance Agreement, CDU/CSU and SPD are not actually politically far apart.

For example, everyone should be able to agree on the need to invest in railways, roads, bridges and other infrastructure through the fund, and consensus should also be found on defensive spending without “bitter conflicts”.

De La Rubia said that although Mirz’s failure in the first round on Tuesday may have been an attempt by members of Parliament to teach him a lesson, this should not mean that the new government is away from great change.

He said, “This does not mean and it should not mean that they must refrain from conducting the necessary reforms regarding the update of the infrastructure, to reduce the red tape, especially when it comes to approval of construction work, wind farms, electricity networks, improving digitization operations and taking measures to reduce labor shortages.”

“I have little doubts that the new government will be able to implement the goals of great policy.”



https://image.cnbcfm.com/api/v1/image/108142011-1746605088257-gettyimages-2213238935-GERMANY_MERZ.jpeg?v=1746605163&w=1920&h=1080

Source link

Leave a Comment