How Mark Carney plans in Canada to beat Donald Trump

On the last day of Mark Carney for a hard race to be elected as a vast president and a crowded population of Canada, I was with him.

He was his last batch, not only to win, but also to get the majority that he said he needed to stand in front of regional and chaotic aspirations in “his neighbor to the south”.

For a person who saw Carney as a brain bench, the central bank ruler who runs crises a decade ago, the transition to public discourse was something.

I remember the endless interviews trying to make the ruler at the time say something worth publishing, or something that will achieve a good title.

While this was Mark Carney completely different, the lineage in the crisis economy was also part of his sale.

Carney told Edmonton, Alberta, wearing a local hockey shirt: “President Trump has torn the global economy … The American leadership of the global economy has ended. It is still playing, but it is a tragedy, and our new reality … in this trade war, just like hockey, we will win.”

His “elbows” supporters shouted and placed it, in reference to the position of standing and fighting in the harsh hockey game sometimes.

“What we see throughout the country is that the Canadians are behaving on behalf of the other Canadians, standing on each other, buying from each other, traveling here …”

At its final stop in the far west, in the isolation of Victoria, Vancouver Island, with only half an hour of campaigns, Carney went “unconnected” among the supporters.

Carney jokingly said: “As you will tell you the collected media, I have made a campaign of prose,” Carney jokingly said. He said about the sports stress of the economy: “Therefore, I will judge the record economy.”

In normal circumstances, some of this may be interesting to the wider world. In current circumstances, the origins of his victory in the elections, his approach to policy, and the nature of his mandate can assume decisive importance.

When I fell with him in an exclusive BBC interview, just as opinion polls were closed on Monday, he seemed confident, but he did not take anything as a Muslim.

Mr. Carney’s central argument remained fixed. He said he was the leader who faces “betrayal” of Donald Trump and the threats of economics and sovereignty in Canada.

He was embodied by his last last gathering on the borders of the United States and Canada, with the ambassador bridge and the horizon of the famous Detroit car companies behind it.

This bridge is the main artery for Canadian American trade. A lot of effort went to this background from the bilateral trade for the most integrated economies in the world, which is now targeted at unimaginable levels. An unusual message from the leader of the liberal party, on a changing continent.

The election result was amazing.

Upon entering 2025, the liberal party was low to 16 %, compared to 45 % for opposition governors, in opinion polls.

The governor of Pierre Puyviri was not only heading to victory, but they did not turn to the ground collapse.

But after that, after President Trump imposed a national security tariff on Canada, using an alleged role in the traffic in fentanel, and then his unconscious suggestion that Canada joined the United States of America, opinion polls were tightened.

Then, after the election of a liberal leader, Mark Carney, just eight weeks ago, the liberals made a steady progress, as they installed victory last week.

The elections have become a presidential ruling on those who can deal with Trump.

Poilievre was mainly weakened due to the previous initiatives of the US President and his style of the government.

Carney merged voters on the left who were afraid of a conservative government that was infiltrated by Trump.

Incredible, in Quebec, the liberals won the support of the separatists, who were more anxious about Canada’s independence from the United States, more than their constitutional situation inside Canada. There is nothing more uniform than a reliable external threat.

Carney gave some clues to his strategy during his interview with me. He talked about the “victory victory” partnership with the United States, and the President reminded that Canada was “the largest agent” of 40 out of 50 American states, and a resource for energy and main fertilizers.

He also told me that “he could provide them with critical minerals.” I am surprised by this as a negotiating tactic, which is very targeted as Trump is focusing on him elsewhere.

Canada has abundant resources of critical minerals, and it will be a more dependent supplier throughout the West than many other countries. Carney implicitly suggests that his country has deep strategic options to make here, for example, to develop it with Europe instead of the United States.

However, the Prime Minister will use the external threat to try to transform the Canadian economy. Even in granting an interview with BBC News, he was clearly seeing an urgent need to diversify commercial and strategic alliances. Defense partnerships are now on cards.

It appears that he can accelerate a commercial deal that is disabled Canada.

On Friday, it came out of the historical announcement that King Charles would reopen the Canadian parliament personally at the end of the month. This has not happened since 1977. It is completely in line with the constitution of Canada, but it is also an amazing confirmation of permanent independence from the White House.

All roads now lead to the summit of the seven group hosted by Carney in mid -June in Alberta, which combines the largest seven economies in the world, which dominates global trade and the international financial system.

Assuming that Trump comes, it will happen within days of the end of the huge “mutual definitions” in most of the world.

It is often forgotten that if Canada and Mexico themselves are freed from the fentian tariff, they will find, according to White House consultants, they themselves are subject to this system, with at least 10 % of the tariff.

All this happens within days of increasing frustration with the traditional American allies with the entire “commercial deal” process.

Japan is increasingly frustrated, as the Minister of Finance now indicated frankly to the contract of Japan, which has not defeated the debts of the US government as a “card” in the negotiations.

The European Union was not too far. Even the United Kingdom has suggested that the deal with Europe may be a more effective way to enhance the economy.

It comes at a time when the customs tariff began a visible and tangible negative impact on American companies and consumers.

There is no great incentive to provide a lot, while the United States itself begins to feel the inflationary consequences of its actions.

The fleet of empty Chinese shipping ships and empty sidewalks on the American West Coast will be considered the economic data of the US economy already decreasing.

As an inventor of warriors in economic crises arising from unconfirmed experiences of governments, Carney may be uniquely placed on how these situations appear. Many markets have been admired by many markets with White House counselors sent to reassure investors in recent weeks.

But Carney also has his own challenges. He missed the majority in Parliament, but he chose to try to present this as a virtue.

Through the corridor, the “Canada team” approach will arrive in the talks with the United States.

An oil-rich province, a regular visitor to Mar-A-Lago, announced moves to make separation referendums easier.

This is a very complex, local, continental, economist and political environment. Few predicts exactly the place he goes to. Carney may have a very big role in it, not just for his country.