The first 100 days of Donald Trump: How did S & P 500?

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president Donald Trump The second presidential term reached its 100 -day teacher, and the confusion of the stock market in the second place in the past eighties.

the S & P 500 The index decreased by 7.9 % from the opening day until April 25, the last weekend at the last 100 -day mark, according to the analysis of CFRA. In comparison, during the first period of Trump in 2016, the S&P 500 rose by 5 % in the first 100 days in his post.

This decrease is the second largest decrease in the first 100 days of the presidential term, with only the stock segment seen at the beginning of the term of President Richard Nixon in 1972, when S&P 500 decreased by 9.9 %.

Since 1944, seven presidential periods began with a decrease in the S&P 500 in the first 100 days, while 14 presidential benefits have seen increases during those periods. Trump’s second term is the first presidential period to witness the market decrease during the first hundred days since President George W. Bush’s second term in 2004, when the S&P 500 decreased by 1.6 %.

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Donald Trump signs an executive order

The performance of the S& P 500 in the first 100 days of Trump’s second state is the second worst among departments since World War II. (Francis Chung/Politico/Bloomberg via Getty Pictures)

The presidential administration according to which S&P 500 performed the best He was 1944, when Franklin Roosevelt, who died on April 12 of that year, and his successor, Harry Truman, died in his position. S&P 500 increased by 10.4 % in a period of 100 days.

Other prominent gains occurred in the first 100 days of the presidential period during the reign of John F. Kennedy (+8.9 %), Joe Biden (+8.5 %) and Barack Obama (+8.4 %).

The only Republican President since World War II has seen positive performance in the S&P 500 index during each of their presidential conditions Ronald ReaganWho saw 0.9 % and 5 % gains in the first 100 days of the first and second periods, respectively.

Consumer confidence fell to its lowest level in 5 years in April

A tariff day to the liberation of Donald Trump

Trump has announced the “mutual” tariff policy based on bilateral trade deficit as part of his “Liberation Day” in the White House Park. (Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images)

The CFRA report indicated that “investors are interested in more than a hundred days and whether the results for the first or a hundred days are predicting the returns of the entire year.”

“Once again since World War II, the S&P 500 has increased by an average of 3.2 % over the next day and was 65 % highest of time,” Sam Stofagel, the largest investment strategy in CFRA. He pointed out that “a return higher than the average in the first 100 days resulted in a full average profit for the year by 21.1 %,” but, on the contrary, I witnessed “less than 100 days, the first 100 days, a full decrease by 5.5 %.”

He added that during the next hundred days, a higher decrease than average led to an increase of 22 % than the entire year, while a return from the average witnessed an average decrease of 3.7 %.

The high prices caused by customs tariffs, and the fears of trade highlighted in the Big book in the Federal Reserve

President Donald Trump

The Trump administration negotiates commercial deals with multiple commercial partners. (Win McNamee/Getty Images)

Financial markets have witnessed high levels of fluctuations amid Trump’s efforts to reset global trade flows to more appropriate conditions for the United States by imposing them Comprehensive definitions On commercial partners.

Uncertainty about Duration of definitions The possibility of increasing the escalation, as well as the possibility of disturbance in a stagnation, continued to affect the markets as the administration begins negotiations with other countries.

In his speech in a joint session of Congress in early March, Trump said that the disturbance caused by its definition deserves all this effort to the American economy in the long term.

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Trump said: “The winding tariff revolves around making America rich again and making America great again. This happens, and this will happen quickly,” Trump said. “There will be a little disorder, but we are fine with that. It will not be much.”



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