4 signs that the recession can come in 2025

I heard Economic inflation (I know how terrible it is), but have you heard of “stagnation”? It is also terrible. The Merriam-Webster is defined as “constant inflation along with the stagnant demand for consumers and relatively high unemployment.” Yixes.

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Some economic experts believe that the recession in the United States is on the horizon. Why? What are the signs that the recession is coming and What can you do to prepare financially to him?

GDP growth (gross domestic product) – when the production of the economy begins to decline or contract – A great warning from the red flag of stagnation. This science was waved earlier this year. GDP decreased by an annual rate of 0.3 % in the first quarter of 2025 (January, February and March), according to the estimation of the progress made by the US Economic Analysis Office (2).

“The federal reserve is now a real growth in GDP by 1.4 % of 2025, a decrease from 1.7 % in its offer in March,” Alex Tsipayev, civil society organizations said in a march. B2PRIME collection. “The Organization for Economic Cooperation, Development and the World Bank has reduced growth forecasts in the United States due to trade tensions and uncertainty in politics. In addition, the leading economic index of the conference council (LEI) decreased again in May, which represents a 2.7 % decrease over the past six months, which is close to the recession.”

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Return to the word is closely related to “stagnation” – inflation. A main sign of inflation is persistent inflation. This is also called “sticky inflation”, and we see it hovering around the basics such as food and fuel.

Dan May, director and co -founder of Dipolo and May. “These are unacceptable expenses that pressure the family budgets. When consumers are forced to spend more on the basics, they reduce elsewhere. This slows economic growth and makes inflation more painful because it is linked to necessities instead of luxury or optional spending.”

last The key warning sign From the recession is the weakness of the labor market. However, we see a decrease in job opportunities, workers’ demobilization and increased unemployment rates. Currently, the labor market shows weaknesses.

“The recent job data has missed economists’ expectations,” said Jake Fallon, CRPC, CEO of CRPC. Wealth advisors Falcon. “Employers added much lower jobs in February of January, and unemployment claims have risen. This softening labor market is a classic introduction to economic stagnation.”