10 % of the land lands are at risk

In January, firefighters spent nearly a month fighting More than ten fires throughout Los Angeles. Despite their best, their biggest efforts – Eaton and Palisades fires – now Rank As the second and third destroyers in the history of California, where it burned 38,000 acres, east 16,000 structures, and killing 31 people.

A large part that makes this story very devastating is that it is not unique. Throughout the world – from Chile to Canada, Greece, Australia, Portugal, Algeria and the United States – destroyed disasters, such as Balzad Disas To become the current situation. A new study published on Thursday in the magazine sciences It reveals the extent of this global mutation, as it was found that high areas of risk that are close to humans covering 10 % of the Earth’s earth.

“The high disaster of wildfires is not just a perception, it is a reality,” said co -author Crystal Colden, associate professor and director of the Fire Film Center at the University of California, at a university. Release. “For decades, forest fires raised primarily on the largely un designated areas, but contemporary catastrophic fires kill more people and destroy more homes and infrastructure.”

The growing global cost of fire

The researchers analyzed the global disaster records for penetration from 1980 to 2023 using data from the special database of Global Reinish Munich Reo and a general international database. They specifically looked at the events that killed 10 or more people or were classified among the 200 most economically damaged.

Among those most expensive fires 200, 43 % have happened over the past ten years. This reflects a four -fold increase in the disasters of the Economic Hashim fires and a three -fold increase in forest fires responsible for 10 or more deaths since 1980.

Increased destruction has been revealed against the background of firefighting investment. In the United States, the federal firefights are spent approximately $ 4.4 billion by 2021, but disasters such as La fires, Lahaina fire, and Durkee fire are increasingly common.

The team also developed a model that is looking after the study period to determine high areas of huge fire risk near human societies. This revealed the deadly danger to 10 % of the Earth’s area on the ground, and allowed researchers to successfully predict major disasters such as Los Angeles fires and deadly Chile fire in 2024.

“This provides a road map for the place where the next catastrophic disasters is likely to occur,” said David Bowman, a professor and director of the Fire Fire Center at Tasmania University. “But climate change may change the game mainly. We need to adapt to how we live with the fire, not just fighting it.”

Climate change pays the “Galilee” fire

The researchers have found that extremist “disaster weather” conditions became more common, as extreme weather and drying in the atmosphere became more weak since 1980. At the same time, severe drought has been more than three times. Half all the disasters they analyzed during the most overseeing circumstances in the recorded wilderness.

John John said: “The majority of global fire disasters occurred with a rough fire ritual that overwhelmed the efforts of suppressing fires,” said John John. AbatzoglouProfessor and Climate Scientist at the University of California in Mercyid, in the release. “Moreover, such severe weather conditions in the fire have become more likely, which increases the possibility of catastrophic fires,” he added. “While we saw this play in catastrophic fires in California, the same factors have played all over the world.”

The main author Calum Knngham, a post -PhD research fellow at the Fire Center at the University of Tasmania, said, Guardian. “These are not just larger fires, they are fires that occur in increasingly extremist weather conditions that make them not stop.”